UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs Murphy • Women's Bantamweight (135 lbs) • 3 Rounds
March 21, 2026
Mullins
7-2-0
Carolina
11-5-0
Statistical Comparison
Sig. Strikes Per Minute
Carolina has superior strike volume, nearly 5 significant strikes per minute
Striking Accuracy (%)
Carolina lands half her shots, above-average accuracy for the division
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Mullins absorbs fewer strikes, indicating good defensive movement
Strike Defense (%)
Takedowns Per 15 Min
Mullins looks for more takedowns, Carolina almost never tries to take it down
Takedown Accuracy (%)
Takedown Defense (%)
Carolina has excellent takedown defense at 76%, hard to take down
Mullins leads in 4 categories · Carolina leads in 3
Tale of the Tape
Carolina has a slight reach advantage
Fight History
First UFC finish, stopped Sygula with strikes in the second round. Strong response after a loss.
TKO R2 (1:20)Stopped in the second round by strikes, exposed in striking against a more technical Frenchwoman.
TKO R2 (3:06)UFC debut with a solid points win over 3 rounds, tactical control.
Unanimous DecisionPoints loss before joining the UFC, competitive but insufficient.
Unanimous DecisionFirst-round knockout on the European circuit, showing surprising power.
KO R1Lost with a point deduction for an illegal upkick. First fight at bantamweight, complicated adjustment.
Unanimous DecisionSolid win against a division veteran, dominated with technical striking for 3 rounds.
Unanimous DecisionThird-round TKO, finish by strikes after dominating the entire fight.
TKO R3Points win in a competitive fight, maintained positive streak in the UFC.
Unanimous DecisionSplit decision loss against the Scottish veteran at UFC 286. Competitive fight, lost by a narrow margin.
Split DecisionSkills Profile
Stand-up Striking
CarolinaCarolina has a Muay Thai black belt and volume of 4.65 SLpM at 50% accuracy. Mullins is competent but less technical.
Finishing Power
EvenBoth have recent TKOs, Mullins stopped Sygula and Carolina stopped Stoliarenko. Similar power in the division.
Wrestling & Grappling
EvenMullins attempts more takedowns (1.20/15min) but Carolina defends 76%. Competitive jiu-jitsu for both.
Overall Defense
EvenMullins was stopped by Cornolle and Carolina lost by decision. Both have vulnerabilities but neither is fragile.
Cardio & Pace
CarolinaCarolina has 10 UFC fights and has fought 5 rounds. Experience in maintaining a high pace throughout.
UFC Experience
CarolinaCarolina has 10 UFC fights (6W-4L) including fights against ranked opponents. Mullins has 3 fights (2W-1L). Huge difference.
Carolina is the more experienced and complete fighter, with a Muay Thai black belt, 10 UFC fights, and superior strike volume. Mullins brings courage and finishing power, but lacks high-level experience. The Brazilian is coming off a loss and needs the win to maintain her spot in the division, which could generate extra urgency.
Win Distribution
KO/TKO
Submission
Decision
Mullins wins 57% by KO/TKO and 43% by decision, a straightforward profile with no submissions. Carolina is a decision fighter with 64% of wins on points, supplemented by 3 KOs and 1 submission. Carolina is more consistent and complete, while Mullins relies more on power in her strikes.
Final Prediction
Vencedor Previsto
Carolina
Unanimous Decision|Confidence MEDIUM
Luana Carolina has a significant experience advantage (10 UFC fights vs 3), superior strike volume (4.65 vs 3.80 SLpM), and versatility. Her Muay Thai black belt should give her a technical edge in the striking against Mullins, who was stopped by strikes from Cornolle. Carolina is coming off a loss and has extra motivation, while Mullins travels to London with less octagon experience. However, Mullins fights at home and showed finishing ability when she stopped Sygula. If the Brit connects at the right time, she could surprise.
X-Factor
Carolina's UFC experience
With 10 octagon fights against just 3 for Mullins, Carolina knows how to handle the pressure, the pace, and the judges in the UFC. That competitive maturity is irreplaceable and should show up in the decisive moments.
Upset Alert
Mullins at home with finishing power
Mullins stopped Sygula with strikes in R2 and has 57% wins by KO/TKO. The O2 Arena crowd will push the Brit and if Carolina shows the same defensive gaps she did against Montague, Mullins could capitalize.
UFC NEWS HUB - Preliminary Analysis
Mullins vs Carolina | UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs Murphy | Women's Bantamweight (135 lbs)