October 3, 2026 · Delta Center, Salt Lake City, United States
Wint
8-0-0
UnrankedHomestead, Florida, USA | 31 years old
Armand
6-0-0
UnrankedBig Rapids, Michigan, USA | 30 years old
The Linebacker vs. the Michigan Giant
Wint is 8-0, a former NFL linebacker who, per fight-night reports, finished both of his UFC-level fights after dragging the other guy to the mat. Armand stands five inches taller, has five knockouts in six fights and debuts after two regional title defenses.
Conviction
Conviction 5. Wint has a small edge in quality of opposition, having already been through DWCS and the UFC, plus a path that's already worked twice at the UFC level. But those two samples add up to five minutes, the UFC win came against a fellow debutant in Chatman, and he's facing a much bigger heavyweight whose style is basically a blank for us. This is a sporting read made without odds, and the probability is an editorial estimate, not a conversion of the score.
Conviction 5. Wint has a small edge in quality of opposition, having already been through DWCS and the UFC, plus a path that's already worked twice at the UFC level. But those two samples add up to five minutes, the UFC win came against a fellow debutant in Chatman, and he's facing a much bigger heavyweight whose style is basically a blank for us. This is a sporting read made without odds, and the probability is an editorial estimate, not a conversion of the score.
THE DECIDING FACTOR
Wint's Entries vs. Armand's Hands
Wint didn't win in the UFC by trading from range. Against Adams, when the other guy shot for a takedown, Wint overpowered him on the fence. Against Chatman, according to fight-night reports, the first shot got stuffed and he went right back to the leg until he was on top. The official UFC.com page lists zero takedowns on zero attempts, which contradicts those reports and the page's own takedown average, so the takedown comes from the fight accounts, not the official stats. Two-thirds of his significant strikes across DWCS and the UFC landed on the ground. The game plan is obvious: linebacker strength to get to the body, then ground-and-pound or the arm-triangle. The new problem is size. Armand is 6'4" and listed roughly 30 pounds heavier. Holding down and dragging down a heavyweight that big is a different job, and every entry is a moment of exposure against a guy with five TKOs in six fights. Whether those stoppages came on the feet or on the mat, the records don't say. There's an honest limit to this read: we didn't watch Armand's regional fights and found no technical breakdown of them. We know results, rounds and methods, not how he defends takedowns or gets back up. So Wint is the pick on what he's already shown, not on a proven hole in Armand's game.
Wint didn't win in the UFC by trading from range. Against Adams, when the other guy shot for a takedown, Wint overpowered him on the fence. Against Chatman, according to fight-night reports, the first shot got stuffed and he went right back to the leg until he was on top. The official UFC.com page lists zero takedowns on zero attempts, which contradicts those reports and the page's own takedown average, so the takedown comes from the fight accounts, not the official stats. Two-thirds of his significant strikes across DWCS and the UFC landed on the ground. The game plan is obvious: linebacker strength to get to the body, then ground-and-pound or the arm-triangle. The new problem is size. Armand is 6'4" and listed roughly 30 pounds heavier. Holding down and dragging down a heavyweight that big is a different job, and every entry is a moment of exposure against a guy with five TKOs in six fights. Whether those stoppages came on the feet or on the mat, the records don't say. There's an honest limit to this read: we didn't watch Armand's regional fights and found no technical breakdown of them. We know results, rounds and methods, not how he defends takedowns or gets back up. So Wint is the pick on what he's already shown, not on a proven hole in Armand's game.
Truth A
Armand is five inches taller, heavier on paper and has five knockouts in six fights. At heavyweight, one clean shot on the way in is all it takes.
Truth B
Wint has already shown on DWCS and in the UFC what happens once he gets to the body: per the fight accounts, a reversal on the fence against Adams and a single-leg against Chatman, then top position, fight over. The best name on Armand's resume, Braxton Smith, lost his only UFC fight, and Armand is debuting on a numbered card after seven months off.
Tale of the Tape
Both published birth dates put Wint at 31 on fight night
None of the sources we checked lists Armand's reach
Profile weights, not official weigh-in numbers
Current Form
Anthony Wint
UFC Sacramento, his debut. Heavy leg kick, Chatman stuffed the first shot, but Wint kept after the leg, got on top and squeezed the arm-triangle even without the perfect angle. Chatman was debuting too.
Sub R1Contender Series, Week 1. Opened with a leg kick and an overhand right; when Adams shot, Wint overpowered him on the fence and finished it with ground strikes at 0:34. Earned the contract.
TKO R1Fury FC 117. TKO with punches 37 seconds into round 1.
TKO R1Fury FC Challenger Series 15. Knockout with punches in 21 seconds.
KO R1XFC Young Guns. Needed nearly the full 15: stopped him with punches at 4:02 of round 3.
TKO R3Red-hot and refusing to slow down. On Aug. 11, on the Contender Series, Matt Adams shot for a takedown, Wint reversed it against the fence and pounded him out in 34 seconds. Eleven days later, in his UFC debut in Sacramento, he kept chasing a single-leg on Terrance Chatman and choked him unconscious with an arm-triangle at 4:29 of round 1. The 11-day turnaround from DWCS to his debut was his own request to Dana White; for this return, 42 days later, we found no reported reason. The caveat is sample size: about five minutes combined across DWCS and the UFC, and Chatman was making his UFC debut too. We found no dated reporting on his camp, weight cut or injuries.
Lucas Armand
War at the Wex 8, second title defense in a five-round fight. Stopped Graham 16 seconds into round 4. Graham was riding a four-fight losing streak.
TKO R4War at the Wex 7, first title defense. TKO at 1:54 of round 1 over Braxton Smith, who lost to Parker Porter in his only UFC appearance back in 2023.
TKO R12 Piece Promotions 5. Won the heavyweight title with a TKO at 3:59 of round 2.
TKO R2WXC 97. Finished it with strikes at 1:38 of round 1.
TKO R1War at the Wex 2. His opponent didn't come out for round 3.
TKO R2Six wins in six pro fights since November 2024, five by TKO. He won the 2 Piece Promotions heavyweight title in Michigan against Lawrence Phillips and defended it twice: he stopped Braxton Smith, who has one UFC fight on his resume, at 1:54 of round 1, and stopped Cameron Graham 16 seconds into round 4 of a scheduled five-rounder. It's regional competition: Graham walked in at 9-23. Armand started as an amateur in 2022 and went 6-2 before turning pro. The bout was added to the card in early September, with no reported opponent change. He hasn't fought since March, and we found no dated reporting on his camp or weight cut.
Level of Competition
No common opponents. Wint has already been through the Contender Series and one UFC fight, even if it came against another debutant. The best name on Armand's resume is Braxton Smith, who lost his only UFC fight. Both records were built almost entirely on the regional circuit, so the gap in competition is real, but small and rough. Averaging the quality scores of the five most recent pro fights listed above gives Wint 1.4 and Armand 1.2, and both round to Low.
Statistical Comparison
Sig. Strikes Landed per Min
Armand: UFC debut; no official striking stats
UFC.com, combining DWCS and UFC: roughly five minutes of sample. Armand debuts with no official stats
Striking Accuracy (%)
Armand: UFC debut; no official striking stats
UFC.com; UFCStats shows 66%. Two-thirds of Wint's significant strikes came on the ground
Striking Defense (%)
Armand: UFC debut; no official defensive stats
Roughly five minutes across DWCS and the UFC. The 67% ground share tells you where Wint's significant strikes landed, not how long either opponent spent on his back
Pro Fights Past Round 1
Full pro record (Sherdog). Rounds aren't minutes: each man has two fights of roughly 15 minutes (Wint 15:00 and 14:02; Armand 15:00 and 15:16)
Wint leads in 0 categories · Armand leads in 1
Win & Loss Distribution
Wins
KO/TKO
Submission
Decision
Both men are finishers. Wint has five knockouts, two submissions (a rear-naked choke and an arm-triangle) and a single decision, a split, at Fury FC in 2025. Armand has five TKOs and a unanimous decision in his pro debut. For the method call, what matters is the route: at the UFC level, Wint got both his TKO and his submission from top position.
Losses
KO/TKO
Submission
Decision
Neither man has lost as a pro. That says little about chins or submission defense: both built their records against regional opposition, and Wint has only five minutes across DWCS and the UFC. His one documented submission test came in his debut: Chatman isolated an arm for a kimura from the bottom, Wint later said he didn't know how to defend it, and he held position and won. We found no record of Wint eating a heavy shot from a big heavyweight, or of Armand getting taken down by an athlete at this level.
Skills Profile
Wint
vs
Armand
Wrestling & Top Game
Even
No comparative winner here: only Wint's side is documented. Both of his UFC-level wins started with him getting his hands on the other guy: he reversed Adams' shot on the fence and kept after Chatman's leg until he was on top. We found no source describing Armand's takedown defense or ground game. It's unknown, not bad, and without a sample on both sides there's no honest call on who's better.
Knockout Power
Even
Five knockouts in eight wins for Wint, five in six for Armand. Wint's DWCS stoppage of Adams came with ground strikes. Armand stopped ex-UFC heavyweight Braxton Smith at 1:54 of round 1, but the record only says TKO (strikes), so it's unknown whether that came on the feet or on the mat.
Size & Frame
+2 Armand
Armand is five inches taller and listed roughly 30 pounds heavier. Wint's reach is 78 inches, but Armand's hasn't been published, so there's no honest call on who has the longer arms.
Late-Round Reps
Even
Comparable time exposure. Wint has two fights of roughly 15 minutes: the split decision over El-Sahlah (15:00) and the TKO of Verdier at 4:02 of round 3 (14:02). Armand has two as well: the unanimous decision over Jonathan Martin (15:00) and the Graham stoppage 16 seconds into round 4 (15:16), against a 9-23 opponent on a four-fight skid. This fight is capped at 15 minutes. Neither has been tested over three rounds in the UFC.
Quality of Opposition
+1 Wint
Wint has already been through DWCS and the UFC. Armand arrives straight off the Michigan regional scene.
Wint has the better-documented path: get to the body, get it to the mat, finish from on top. Armand has the size and the knockout record, but almost everything about how he actually fights is a blank for us. This one runs through Wint's entries. Closing the distance and getting his hands locked is the condition that tilts things his way, not the finish line: even tied up, Armand can still use his size to pin Wint on the fence. If Armand catches him coming in, everything changes.
Final Prediction
The Thesis
Conviction5/10The thesis is: Anthony Wint wins because he has the best-documented path in this matchup, getting to the body with linebacker strength, taking it down and finishing from on top the way he did against Adams and Chatman, and because he's already been through DWCS and the UFC while Armand debuts straight off the regional scene.
The thesis is: Anthony Wint wins because he has the best-documented path in this matchup, getting to the body with linebacker strength, taking it down and finishing from on top the way he did against Adams and Chatman, and because he's already been through DWCS and the UFC while Armand debuts straight off the regional scene.
The path is getting to the bigger man's body without eating anything clean, getting his hands on him, getting on top and ending it with ground-and-pound. It falls apart if Armand lands on the way in, if his size shuts down the takedowns on the fence, or if the fight drags on and Wint repeats the tight 2025 fight he won by split decision.
What Breaks This Pick
- 01
If Armand stuffs Wint's early shots using his size and the fence, the favorite loses his main weapon and this becomes a heavyweight slugfest, close to a coin flip.
- 02
If Wint eats a clean shot on an entry, we're in territory with no data: we found no record of how his chin holds up against a heavyweight this big.
- 03
If Armand shows he can get back up, finishing from top gets more expensive and the decision gains weight.
- 04
If Armand attacks submissions off his back, like the kimura Chatman isolated with Wint on top, the danger shows up in the exact position where the favorite wants to finish. Wint admitted he didn't know how to defend that kimura; on the other side, Armand's ground game is undocumented and he has no pro submission wins.
- 05
If the quick turnaround, 42 days after his debut, costs Wint on cardio, the late stretch could tilt toward Armand. That's an untested condition: both men have comparable time exposure, two fights of roughly 15 minutes each, and there's no reporting on Wint's camp.
Underdog Path
Armand uses his size to stall Wint's first charge on the fence, stays off his back and punishes the entries with short shots. With Wint burning energy on takedowns he can't finish, Armand lands clean and gets the TKO, or stuffs the takedowns and takes the rounds. A submission is the secondary route: it could come off a loose entry, a guillotine or front headlock, with Wint stuck underneath a much heavier man after a failed shot, or from the bottom with Wint on top, like the kimura Chatman isolated in Wint's debut and that Wint admitted he didn't know how to defend. Armand has no pro submission wins on record, and we found no account of his ground game.
Required Conditions
- Don't get taken down on Wint's first charge
- Use height and weight to stall Wint against the fence
- Land clean when Wint comes in or backs out
- Handle the UFC debut jitters after seven months off
— Precedent: No direct precedent. The closest is Armand's stoppage of Braxton Smith, a one-fight UFC veteran, at 1:54 of round 1. We don't know how that fight played out and Smith's style is undocumented, so there's no way to assess whether that win transfers to this matchup.
Verdict
Winner
Anthony Wint
Method
TKO
Most likely winner
Anthony Wint wins
Wint has the documented path of getting to the body, getting on top and finishing, plus more UFC-level experience. The uncertainty comes from his five-minute sample, Armand's size and how little is known about the way the debutant actually fights. It's a real edge, but a narrow one.
Stats That Matter
42
days between Wint's UFC debut and this fight
His third fight in under eight weeks
5 in
height edge for Armand
6'4" vs. 5'11"; Armand's reach hasn't been published
5
minutes Wint has logged across DWCS and the UFC
Tiny sample: 34 seconds against Adams and 4:29 against Chatman
COLISEUM - Statistical and tactical analysis. Data sourced from ufcstats.com and public sources.
Anthony "Bow Down" Wint vs Lucas "Do or Die" Armand | UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang | October 3, 2026 | Delta Center, Salt Lake City, United States
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