UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs Murphy

March 21, 2026 · The O2 Arena, London, United Kingdom

Welterweight (170 lbs)3 Rounds

Page

24-3-0

#13 Welterweight

London, England | 38 years old

VS

Patterson

14-2-1

N/R Welterweight

Watford, England | 29 years old

The Showman vs The Finisher

An all-British clash between the point karate veteran and the young man who finishes everyone in his path

01

The Context Nobody Tells You

The All-British Clash London Deserves

This is the kind of fight London crowds love: two Brits, completely opposite styles, and the promise of fireworks. Michael "Venom" Page is a living legend of British MMA. Ten-time world kickboxing champion, Bellator star for nearly a decade, and owner of the most polarizing style in the sport: hands down, unpredictable movement, strikes from impossible angles.

At 38 years old, MVP is in the twilight of his career but still relevant. Three wins in four UFC fights, including victories over Kevin Holland on debut, Sharabutdin Magomedov, and Jared Cannonier, show he can still compete with high-level names when he implements his gameplan. But the loss to Ian Garry exposed the vulnerability that was always there: when opponents close the distance and neutralize his movement, Page suffers.

The Future Has Arrived

Sam Patterson didn't earn the nickname "The Future" for nothing. At 29 years old, 6'3" tall with nearly 78 inches of reach, he's a nightmare for any welterweight opponent. Four consecutive first-round finishes, mixing submissions and knockouts, prove Patterson isn't there to make friends. Seven career submissions (including arm-triangle chokes and rear-naked chokes) make him one of the most dangerous finishers in the division.

The dynamic is fascinating: Page wants to keep distance and use his unorthodox striking. Patterson wants to close the gap, take it to the ground, and submit. If Patterson gets the takedown, Page is in serious danger. If Page keeps it standing, experience and unconventional techniques could frustrate the youngster. The O2 Arena will be split, and that's the beauty of an all-British showdown.

DimensionPagePatterson
Ranking#13 WelterweightUnranked
Streak2-fight win streak4-fight win streak
NarrativeStay relevant at 38Beat the legend and enter the rankings
RiskSecond UFC loss in 5 fightsLose the chance to level up

Two Destinies, One Fight

O que muda no universo do MMA dependendo de quem vence

VENOM STILL STRIKES

Page frustrates Patterson with movement and timing on the feet

RANKING

Page stays in the top 15 and adds another home win against a relevant name

LEGACY

At 38, MVP proves he can still compete with the division's young guns

Likely Next Fight

Page vs ranked top 10 opponent on a European card

THE FUTURE IS NOW

Patterson submits the legend and announces his arrival in the rankings

RANKING

Patterson enters the welterweight top 15 with a win over a ranked fighter

NEXT

Fight against an established top 10-15 name at the next opportunity

Likely Next Fight

Patterson vs ranked top 10-15 opponent

02

Current Form

Michael Page

WJared CannonierEx-MW title challenger
Aug 2025

Solid decision win over a dangerous veteran. MVP used movement and counters.

Unanimous Decision
WSharabutdin Magomedov#14 MW
Feb 2025

Impressive upset. Page dominated the undefeated Magomedov by unanimous decision in Riyadh.

Unanimous Decision
LIan Garry#10 WW
Jun 2024

Competitive loss to a top prospect. Garry controlled distance and neutralized Page's style.

Unanimous Decision
WKevin Holland#14 WW
Mar 2024

Impressive UFC debut. Page frustrated Holland with movement and counters for 3 rounds.

Unanimous Decision
On Fire

Page is in good form in the UFC. Won his debut against Holland, lost to Garry, then strung together two straight wins over Magomedov and Cannonier. Three wins in four UFC fights show MVP is competitive at the highest level. At 38, the window is closing, but the momentum is positive.

Sam Patterson

WTrey Waters
Sep 2025

First-round TKO with precise rights. Fourth consecutive R1 finish.

TKO R1
WDanny Barlow
Mar 2025

First-round knockout. Took Barlow's undefeated record with brutal power.

KO R1
WKiefer Crosbie
Jul 2024

Arm-triangle choke submission in the first round at UFC 304 in Manchester.

Submission R1 (arm-triangle)
WYohan Lainesse
Jan 2024

Rear-naked choke submission in the first round at UFC 297.

Submission R1 (RNC)
On Fire

Patterson is on an incredible streak: four consecutive wins, all in the first round (two submissions and two knockouts). The move from lightweight to welterweight was perfect. At 6'3" with nearly 78 inches of reach, he finally found his ideal weight class. This fight against Page is the step up in competition he needs.

03

Level of Competition

Page
vs
Patterson
Good
Avg. opponent quality
Poor
3W-1L (75%)
Win rate
4W-1L (80%)
0W-0L
vs Top 5
0W-0L

No common opponents. Page has faced far superior competition (Holland, Garry, Magomedov, Cannonier) while Patterson has won against unranked opponents. This fight will show if Patterson is ready for the next level.

05

Statistical Comparison

Page
Patterson

Sig. Strikes Per Minute

3.15
5.80

Striking Accuracy (%)

44%
52%

Strikes Absorbed/Min

3.28
3.10

Strike Defense (%)

55%
50%

Takedowns Per 15 Min

0.41
3.23

Takedown Accuracy (%)

33%
50%

Takedown Defense (%)

42%
75%

Submissions Per 15 Min

0.00
2.50

Page leads in 1 categories · Patterson leads in 7

Tale of the Tape

38 years oldAge29 years old

Page 9 years older

6'3" (1.91m)Height6'3" (1.91m)

Same height

77" (196cm)Reach78" (198cm)

Patterson with slight advantage

Southpaw/SwitchStanceOrthodox

Page constantly switches stances

London ShootfightersGymTeam Crossface, Watford
06

Skills Profile

PagevsPatterson

Stand-up Striking

Page
78
60

Page is a 10x world kickboxing champion. Unique movement and timing, even at 38.

Wrestling/Takedowns

Patterson
30
82

Patterson averages 3.23 takedowns per 15 min. Page has just 42% takedown defense.

Jiu-Jitsu/Submissions

Patterson
30
88

Patterson has 7 career submissions. Page has just 3 submissions in 24 wins.

Movement & Footwork

Page
90
55

Page's footwork is unique in MMA. Point karate base with quick entries and exits.

Takedown Defense

Patterson
42
75

Page has just 42% TDD. Against an active wrestler like Patterson, that's concerning.

High-Level Experience

Page
78
40

Page has faced Holland, Garry, Magomedov, and Cannonier in the UFC. Patterson has only fought unranked opponents.

The styles are diametrically opposed. Page dominates on the feet with movement and creative striking, but Patterson dominates on the ground with wrestling and submissions. The fight will be defined by where it takes place: standing or on the mat.

07

Win Distribution

Page24W
Patterson14W

KO/TKO

54%
13
43%
6

Submission

13%
3
50%
7

Decision

33%
8
7%
1

Total contrast. Page is primarily a striker: 54% KO, 13% submission, 33% decision. Patterson is a ground finisher: 50% submission, 43% KO. Patterson almost never goes to decision (just 7%). If the fight goes to the ground, it's the young man's territory. If it stays standing, it's Page's territory.

08

Danger Zones

R1
The Guillotine LurksPATTERSON ADVANTAGE

Patterson won his last four fights in the first round, by submission or knockout. He comes in aggressive looking for the takedown or finish from the opening seconds. If Page doesn't defend the first takedown, he could be submitted quickly. Patterson has diverse submissions (arm-triangle, RNC) and the reach to apply them.

R2
The Adjustment RoundEVEN

If Page survives R1, the second round could be more balanced. Page has more experience in longer fights and could find the timing for his counters. Patterson rarely reaches R2 and could be in unfamiliar territory.

R3
Experience CountsPAGE ADVANTAGE

If the fight reaches the third round, Page's experience in 3-round fights (11 career decisions) could be decisive. Patterson has just 1 decision win in 14 fights. Going the distance favors the veteran.

09

Invisible Factors & Red Flags

Red Flags

Age & MileagePage

Page is 38 with over 20 years of competition between kickboxing and MMA. The accumulated mileage could affect recovery and reflexes, especially against a 29-year-old.

Known VulnerabilityPage

Page's takedown defense (42%) is his biggest vulnerability. Garry exploited this in Page's only UFC loss. Patterson, who lives off takedowns and submissions, will attack exactly this weakness.

Fatores Positivos

Both Brits at HomeBoth

Both are British fighting in London. Page from London, Patterson from Watford. The crowd could split, though Page likely has more fans by name recognition.

R1 FinishesPatterson

Four consecutive first-round wins (two submissions and two KOs). Patterson is a first-round predator who doesn't waste energy. If he gets the takedown, he closes the deal fast.

Veteran Fight IQPage

Page has seen it all in nearly 30 fights. He knows how to frustrate opponents, maintain distance, and use timing to his advantage. Experience could be the difference if the fight stays standing.

10

Paths to Victory

38%

Page

60%

Patterson

Page
Long-Range Striking18%

Unanimous Decision

Page maintains distance with footwork and jab, frustrates Patterson's takedown attempts, and wins on points with counters and unconventional techniques.

Showman Knockout12%

KO/TKO R1-R2

Page finds the perfect timing for a flying knee, spinning back kick, or clean counter that ends the fight spectacularly.

TDD & Volume8%

Unanimous Decision

Page surprises with improved takedown defense and wins with superior strike volume and distance scoring.

Patterson
Lightning Submission28%

Submission R1

Patterson closes the distance, completes the takedown, and finds the submission quickly. Guillotine on the level change or RNC after taking the back.

Ground and Pound18%

TKO R1-R2

Patterson takes it down and dominates with ground and pound. Page has no tools to get up or defend from the bottom, and the referee stops the fight.

Control Dominance14%

Unanimous Decision

Patterson can't get the finish but controls Page on the ground long enough to win every round on the scorecards.

11

Final Prediction

Vencedor Previsto

Sam Patterson

Submission R1-R2|Confidence MEDIUM

Page 38%60% Patterson

This fight comes down to one question: can Page keep it standing? With just 42% takedown defense and Patterson completing 3.23 takedowns per 15 minutes, the math doesn't favor MVP. Patterson has the tools to close the distance (similar reach), take it down, and submit. Page's takedown defense was exploited by Garry in his UFC 303 loss, and Patterson is a more dangerous ground grappler. However, Page's experience (3-1 in the UFC) and his creative striking are factors that can't be ignored. If Page maintains distance for 15 minutes, he could frustrate Patterson.

X-Factor

Patterson's Step Up in Competition

Patterson has never faced anyone of Page's caliber. All his UFC opponents were unranked with limited experience. Page is the first real test. If Patterson gets nervous or shows too much respect for Page's striking, he might not be able to close the distance.

Upset Alert

Page's Timing

Page is unpredictable by nature. A flying knee on a takedown entry, a counter at the exact right moment, or an upkick from the bottom could change everything. Don't underestimate the fight IQ of a 38-year-old veteran.

12

What to Watch For

01

The First Takedown Attempt

Everything starts here. If Patterson completes the first takedown, his confidence skyrockets and Page will spend the entire fight worried about the ground. If Page defends, the dynamic shifts completely.

02

Page's Footwork

Point karate footwork is Page's primary weapon for avoiding takedowns. If he maintains lateral movement with quick entries and exits, he can frustrate Patterson. If he stands still, he's easy prey.

03

Submissions on Level Changes

Patterson has 7 career submissions with technical variety. When Page ducks his head to defend a takedown, any type of choke is a real danger. Watch Patterson's hands whenever there's a level change.

04

Step-Up Nerves

Patterson has never faced a name like Page. The nerves of stepping up in competition could affect his aggression and timing. Watch if he hesitates on takedown entries.

05

MVP's Unconventional Techniques

Page is famous for strikes from unpredictable angles. Flying knees, spinning back kicks, and counters out of nowhere. One technique could end the fight at any moment.

COLISEUM - Statistical and tactical analysis. Data sourced from ufcstats.com and public sources.

Michael "Venom" Page vs Sam "The Future" Patterson | UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs Murphy | March 21, 2026 | The O2 Arena, London, United Kingdom

Coliseum - UFC Fight Analysis & Predictions