UFC Fight Night: Burns vs Malott · April 18, 2026 · Middleweight (185 lbs) · 3R

Leblanc vs Valentin

Debutante vs Robzilla

Leblanc estreia em casa, Valentin veterano scrappy.

Julien Leblanc

10-2 · UFC Debute

Robert "Robzilla" Valentin

10-6 · Fora do top 15

In 30 seconds

Julien Leblanc wins by Unanimous decision

Leblanc 55%Draw 3%Valentin 42%

Conviction

10-2cartel do Leblanc em regionalMomentum que ainda precisa ser testado no UFC
16lutas profissionais do ValentinExperiencia pode ser ativo ou desgaste

Read the full thesis ↓

The key to the fight

DEBUTE EM CASA

PROSPECT LOCAL CONTRA VETERANO SCRAPPY

Leblanc estreia no UFC em home show canadense, 10-2 regional com momentum. Valentin veterano com 6 losses mas scrappy, sabe levar rounds pra decisao. Matchup de estilos equilibrado: prospect fresco contra scrappy que nao desiste.

Leblanc tem zero experiencia UFC. Pode travar no debute.

Valentin tem 16 lutas profissionais, sabe levar pro cartao. Mas esta 0-1 no UFC e fora do top 15.

Tale of the Tape

Leblanc	Tale of the Tape	Valentin
29 years old	Age	32 years old
1,83m	Height	1,85m
188cm	Reach	190cm
Ortodoxo	Stance	Ortodoxo
Gatineau, Canada	Gym	N/I

Current form

Opponent caliber in recent fights

Julien LeblancRobert Valentin

Filled dot = win, hollow dot = loss. Higher means a better opponent.

Fighter	Date	Opponent	Result	Method	Opponent caliber

Julien Leblanc · On Fire

Prospect em casa, primeira luta UFC. Momentum local.

Robert Valentin · Recovering

Precisa provar posicao UFC. Saindo de derrota de debute.

Level of competition

Average opponent level (1 to 5)

Julien Leblanc

Average opponent level (1 to 5)1.3

Record2V-0D ult 2

Against the top 50V-0D

Robert Valentin

Average opponent level (1 to 5)2

Record1V-1D ult 2

Against the top 50V-0D

Sem overlap. Valentin tem teste UFC recente, Leblanc so regional.

Stats

StatsLeblancValentin

Sig. Strikes per Minute

3.80

3.50

Strike Accuracy (%)

48%

45%

Strikes Absorbed/Min (lower is better)

2.90

3.30

Strike Defense (%)

58%

52%

Takedowns per 15 Min

1.00

1.50

Takedown Defense (%)

60%

55%

How they win and lose

Julien Leblanc

Wins

10 wins

KO/TKO 50% (5)
Submission 20% (2)
Decision 30% (3)

Robert Valentin

Wins

10 wins

KO/TKO 40% (4)
Submission 20% (2)
Decision 40% (4)

Leblanc mais finalizador (70% por finish). Valentin mais cartao (40%). Se Leblanc nao finaliza cedo, Valentin pode levar decisao scrappy.

Skills

Where each fighter has the edge

LeblancValentinEven

Each spoke is a skill. The farther from the center, the bigger the edge for that color.

1. Striking at RangeEdge: Leblanc (2/5)
Leblanc volume leve maior e precisao.
2. Wrestling OfensivoEdge: Valentin (1/5)
Valentin usa mais TDs.
3. Scrappy / DurabilidadeEdge: Valentin (2/5)
Valentin sabe levar rounds, nao desiste.
4. CardioEdge: Leblanc (2/5)
Prospect de 29 contra veterano 32 com desgaste.
5. Pressao em CasaEdge: Leblanc (3/5)
Home show emocional real.

Leblanc favorecido pela casa e pela juventude. Valentin tem scrappiness e experiencia UFC recente. Coinflip leve.

Full prediction

The thesis

Leblanc vence porque (1) home show canadense; (2) juventude vs veterano; (3) volume de striking ligeiramente superior. Caminho: controlar distancia, sobreviver tentativas de TD, levar decisao. Desmorona se o wrestling scrappy do Robzilla anular a luta na grade.

Conviccao 5 porque nao ha evidencia forte o suficiente pra cravar alto. Coinflip honesto.

What breaks the thesis

Wrestling do Robzilla controlar grade.
Debute travar Leblanc no R1.

The underdog's path

Valentin pressiona com TDs, controla na grade, acumula pontos de controle no cartao.

Conectar 2-3 TDs
Controlar tempo na grade